If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a

If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a

Edgar Fiedler
22/09/2025
22/09/2025

If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a good idea to know the business cycle. Sounds reasonable, but it's not that easy.

(1 evaluate)
If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a
If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a
If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a good idea to know the business cycle. Sounds reasonable, but it's not that easy.
If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a
If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a good idea to know the business cycle. Sounds reasonable, but it's not that easy.
If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a
If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a good idea to know the business cycle. Sounds reasonable, but it's not that easy.
If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a
If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a good idea to know the business cycle. Sounds reasonable, but it's not that easy.
If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a
If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a good idea to know the business cycle. Sounds reasonable, but it's not that easy.
If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a
If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a good idea to know the business cycle. Sounds reasonable, but it's not that easy.
If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a
If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a good idea to know the business cycle. Sounds reasonable, but it's not that easy.
If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a
If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a good idea to know the business cycle. Sounds reasonable, but it's not that easy.
If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a
If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a good idea to know the business cycle. Sounds reasonable, but it's not that easy.
If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a
If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a
If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a
If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a
If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a
If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a
If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a
If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a
If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a
If we're going to forecast the business cycle, surely it is a
Edgar Fiedler
Edgar Fiedler

American - Economist April 21, 1929 - March 15, 2003

With the author

He who lives by the crystal ball soon learns to eat ground glass.

Edgar Fiedler

Expansions do not die of old age. The probability of recession in the following year is the same for a three-year-old expansion as it is for a five- or six-year-old expansion.

Edgar Fiedler

The herd instinct among forecasters makes sheep look like independent thinkers.

Edgar Fiedler

If you have to forecast, forecast often.

Edgar Fiedler

Ask five economists and you'll get five different answers - six if one went to Harvard.

Edgar Fiedler

At some risk of oversimplification, I suggest that the usual reason a business cycle turns into a monster is an overdose of government policy.

Edgar Fiedler

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